Horse Racing Analysis

Caulfield

Exclusive Report 2nd August

Form Guides (RSB)

Race 1: 11-2-4-9

Very hard to split Magnetic and Diamond Envy, and backing the both straighout looks a good plan in the first. Diamond Envy is the top pick, she is flying at the moment and looks like getting a good run here in transit and will be hard to beat again. Magnetic had the run of the race last start but perhaps was a bit exposed to Bird Dancer with that race run pretty hard. Looks to be a big threat again, has all the favours. The only slight chinq and why I've demoted it to second best is that he's quite one paced himself and barrier one is a small concern then. Can't ignore Joontoo Gemini's form, drops back in distance but is hard fit and is competitive generally around this distance. And Corragio is worth throwing in again, was forced to do to much work last start and was a sitting shot. From six should get a cosy run and should threaten hard the placings.

Race 2: 15-5-4-2

Again this is another race that I think you can back the first two selections and you should get a result. The more you look at this race, the more speed you keep coming up with. Alot of the speed has drawn deep too, so I think horses tracking one or two off in behind them a well advantaged here and I have two very good ones for you. Floramour and Jylland. Floramour won her debut very impressively and then was sent to stakes level where everything went wrong the Sydney way of going, she was subsequently turned out. She was brought back three-quarter fit according to the trainer last start and wasn't disgraced on a very heavy track. She looks much more suited on a firmer surface here and with the fitness on her side I think she can steam over the top. Easily the hardest to beat is Jylland. Very impressed by his performance at Ballarat. He will keep rolling into it off the predicted hot speed and go extremely close. Respecting Happy Genes track record run at Geelong and putting him next. In front of Holy Request who is another that will come into now that the speed will be slapped on.

Race 3: 13-7-1-3

There is a seriously naturally gifted galloper here in Offer it up. Chucked away the race last start after running home like Bernborough the start before at Seymour. Anything that wins off the pace over a short journey at Seymour needs to be automatically respected. It just so happens she can more than back this up. There's no pace in this race, and I think they will let her roll up to the lead if she jumps. Even if she is ridden back she can still win, she's that much better than them. I don't mind the engagement of Gauci, I think the instructions will be just to let her run and Gauci is good at allowing them to do that. Her ability will get her over the line. Potomac I have selected for second with no great confidence, I just like where she has drawn she can lauch from there. Hi On Love is a good horse and should shoulder the big weight as she is very gutsy. And Stratus Faction next best, won against the trend last start.

Race 4: 4-9-1

I tried hard to tip against Royal Asscher, not that I don't rate her but she's usally about 80% effective first up. She does have favours though as they will go along pretty quick here, which is what she likes and she can sprint off little momentum, which is important with her drawing low in three. That will help her. Won't be backing her but she can win. Mondano could be a betting proposition in this. This is home track and this race isn't tough. Live in Vain is third best. Looked in need of that run last start as he was working along way out. Expect a four - five length improvement here and that gets him into the placings.

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