Horse Racing Analysis

Caulfield

Exclusive Report 11th October

Race 1: 2-4-7-10-3

Don't mind Naku Penda in this. A good place bet and a small win bet looks the smart bet in this. Dare say he will be ridden relatively patiently from the inside barrier without dropping two far out of the equation, that seemed to turn him on last start and I think general maturity has kicked in with this horse. Last start was no fluke he looked really good. Strumming the little horse has a chance in this because I think he can land in a spot where he can launch a winning bid. Caulfield should suit him, a good thing beaten last start - which may in fact effect his real price of around $5 or better. Nato next best just on barrier and a recent trial. Forget his first up run - pulled himself into the ground. Go on his good recent trial and his early two year old form. One for multiples. Zizz next best as it should get the lead and Eclair Fantastic the other winning hope.

Race 2: 14-9-3

This race doesn't really excite me. Going with Gold Salute again. Horses up in the weights are nothing special barely above average in fact and it gets near 4kgs from them. Won a good race in returning, drawn brilliantly and is capable of going on with it. Flash Couple next best. Has had two runs in now and I view him as next best. Sharkbite is third best, just because he will use the inside barrier to advantage, likes this track and desperately needs to come back to this grade where he is more competitive.

Race 3: 6-7-3

Like Fast Future in this. Always have been a fan of this horse and nothing this campaign has been short of top shelf. Steps up to his distance range and will get all of the 2400m to reel them in this. I'm predicting either Fast Future or The Wolverine to stand up in this, and perhaps the way to attack this one is to back them both straight out looking for a return. Fast Future progressed nicely on the pronvicial scene early in his career and kept performing when in town in Melbourne an excellent second at Caulfield comes to mind, which gives us heart the track will suit the big galloper. The key to this horse along with The Wolverine is firm ground and they look like getting it here. The aspect I like about The Wolverine has been the patience shown with this galloper, having Nassipour in the blood lines gives hope that it's an improver as well as being adept over these long distances. Liked his performance in Sydney WFA. Cefalu next best. Steps up to a distance that he prefers and is going well at the moment, if there is any advantage with the rail in the true he is the one to take advantage as he will definitely lead. If you suspect a bias he is your insurance policy.

Race 4: 1-8-6

Very hard to split three in this. Predicting a driving finsish to the line with these three featuring. Kaphero, Wilander and Soaressa. Kaphero steps away from his favoured Moonee Valley but he is flying at the moment and I think he can lead or get the drop here. While he is a Moonee Valley marvel, I believe there has been a touch of improvement in his capabilities and over the 1000m I think he can bring his game to Caulfield. I'm expecting Wilander to improve off that first up run and be very hard to beat. Didn't like coming down to the Grandstand side at Flemington cut back to the middle mid-race and that probably cost him a length. And was beaten by a very smart one. As I said I think the Freedman's have left something in the tank for this. Soaressa third best. They will go like the wind here and is the only horse capable of performing from well back off a speed. Form is exemplary and will be gunning them down at the death. A winning hope but third best at this stage.

Race 5: 1-8-2

Tipping Pompeii Ruler in the Yalumba. Only horse to stick on pace last start when all else failed. He's going well and has this race at his mercy. Expected to show his best in this. Largo Lad next best, if this was Flemington I would be tipping him, but at Caulfield I think Pompeii Ruler will beat him home. Excellent run last start when kept coming out wide off a slow speed. He's ready now. Speed in this race doesn't look to flash hot for him, but his ability will carry him along way. Sirmione next best. Disappointing a smidgen last start, but that was more jockey error than anything - seemed to attack too early in the Dato Tan Chin Nam. Bart has gone for the blinkers so he looms as the interesting runner in the race, at his best he would win.

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